July 3rd, 2009 at 2:14 pm by Don Paul under Weather Watch 4
Temperatures will be below the norm for this holiday weekend, but the 4th will still be a fine day with a Nice but Coolish Night of the 4th. Cool air aloft may bring just enough instability to cause a few clouds to mix in with the sunshine…maybe a few more on Sunday. Monday will have a weak short wave coming nearby, and that will likely leave us with Limited Sun and the possibility of a few stray showers (the NAM is more definitive about this, but in the 72-84 hr time frame, its reliability slips). There continue to be signs of moderating temperatures arriving by next Thur-Fri. However, the NCEP 500mb Mean Ensemble shows another trough getting carved out over the NE by early the following week.
June 15th, 2009 at 1:39 pm by Don Paul under Weather Watch 4
Abundant sunshine both Mon-Tue (though some clouds will build in spots Mon afternoon) with seasonable temperatures. The approach of a low pressure system to the upper midwest with its warm front ahead of it will increase the risk of shwrs & tshwrs by later Wed into Wed evening. Some leftover lighter showers appear slated for Thur. There may be some limited sun on Friday, with a few shwrs & tstorms are likely to develop, with more widespread activity currently showing up for Saturday, and the chance of some leftover shwrs on a Partly/Mostly Cloudy Sunday.
June 7th, 2009 at 5:16 pm by WIVB under Weather Watch 4
As we close out the weekend and head into a brand new week, an unsettled weather pattern will continue to unfold across WNY. A stationary front Sunday evening will gradually move further south allowing spotty showers to end across the southern tier. This same front will lift northward on Monday allowing for scattered showers and t-storms to develop in the afternoon and evening. It’ll become increasingly humid Monday night into early Tuesday as a cold front tracks toward WNY with scattered showers and t-storms, but drier, more refreshing air returns later Tuesday and on Wednesday with partly sunny skies. Another disturbance arrives on Thursday with more hit or miss showers and t-showers. But early signs point to clearing skies as we push into next weekend along with seasonably warm temps in the 70s.
June 1st, 2009 at 3:13 pm by Don Paul under Weather Watch 4
After Sunday, any day this week will feel milder by comparison. But no summerlike warmth is in view through the week. We may reach the low 70s on Friday, but will likely be in the mid-upper 60s most days though next weekend. Very limited moisture is crossing the region on Monday into the evening, but it’s no “biggie.” Another surge of somewhat greater moisture will arrive by Wed AM, with drier conditions returning for Thursday into the weekend. While the weekend is not a lock at this early point, things are looking up for a mainly dry weekend.
May 29th, 2009 at 4:52 pm by WIVB under Weather Watch 4
WeatherWatch 4 now has two new ways you can check the local weather when you’re not near your TV or computer.
The new WIVB.com mobile site can be viewed from your cell phone and offers the same forecast you get on News 4 and WIVB.com. You can even watch video forecasts from Don Paul, Mary Beth Wrobel, Mike Cejka and Lindsay Schwarzwaelder right from your phone! Just visit www.wivb.com from your phone’s web browser.
If you have an iPhone or an iPod Touch you can download a FREE special application that’s made just for you. Search “wivb” in the iTunes App Store.
For instructions and links, you can visit this page on WIVB.com. Or, send a text message with “wivb” (no quotes) to 4MYTV (46988) to get instructions sent to your cell phone or iPhone.
Here’s some pictures of what the iPhone app looks like:
May 26th, 2009 at 12:43 pm by Don Paul under Weather Watch 4
As showers spread slowly north Tuesday afternoon, they will tend to weaken somewhat. All in all, rainfall coverage over the next few days will be uneven. There will be a better chance for more widespread lt to moderate rain overnight tonight, and then precip will again be more cellular in nature–with maybe a few tshowers Wed and Thur afternoon. We will also be “muggifying” to some extent by Wed-Thur. Obviously, what rainfall we get is badly needed to bring shallow soil moisture up to par. A somewhat cooler airmass will arrive on Friday, though there could still be a few showers. Weekend fcst confidence is less than I’d like at this point for Saturday, but most evidence points toward cool temperatures to develop–can’t rule out a few Saturday shwrs.
May 21st, 2009 at 11:08 am by WIVB under Weather Watch 4
With pretty decent weather lined up this week, here are the viewing times for the International Space Station through May 26th. If you haven’t seen it yet, check it out! The times and locations are very accurate.
ISS Mon May 18/10:16 PM 2 minutes 14 above N 10 above NE
ISS Mon May 18/11:52 PM < 1 minute 21 above NNW 21 above NNW
ISS Tue May 19/09:07 PM 2 minutes 14 above N 11 above NNE
ISS Tue May 19/10:42 PM 2 minutes 18 above N 15 above NE
ISS Wed May 20/12:16 AM < 1 minute 10 above WNW 10 above WNW
ISS Wed May 20/09:33 PM 2 minutes 14 above N 10 above NE
ISS Wed May 20/11:08 PM < 1 minute 26 above NNW 34 above N
ISS Thu May 21/09:59 PM 3 minutes 18 above N 10 above ENE
ISS Thu May 21/11:32 PM 1 minute 10 above WNW 25 above WNW
ISS Fri May 22/10:24 PM 2 minutes 27 above NNW 28 above ENE
ISS Sat May 23/09:15 PM 3 minutes 17 above NNW 10 above ENE
ISS Sat May 23/10:49 PM 2 minutes 20 above WNW 68 above WSW
ISS Sun May 24/09:41 PM 3 minutes 28 above NNW 13 above E
ISS Sun May 24/11:15 PM < 1 minute 11 above W 15 above W
ISS Mon May 25/10:06 PM 2 minutes 31 above WNW 30 above SE
ISS Tue May 26/10:31 PM 2 minutes 11 above W 18 above SW
May 18th, 2009 at 1:59 pm by Don Paul under Weather Watch 4
The peek-a-boo warmup that was in, then out, is solidly back in for Wed-Thur this week. A weak cool front will take temps back down from almost summery to seasonable for Friday into Sunday. Saturday and Sunday look comfortable and dry at this point. Monday may be a little muggier and a little shakier, with limited moisture out ahead of a trough. We’ll also be watching an area of low pressure which may take on tropical characteristics later this week in the Gulf.
May 11th, 2009 at 1:47 pm by Don Paul under Weather Watch 4
After a second frosty night on Monday night and still some valley frost the next night, a nice warmup will arrive on a downslope wind Wednesday, with temps jumping into at least the low 70s. Much later Wed night, another vigorous storm system passing to our north will bring a round of Shwrs & Tstorms, followed by Windy and Showery conditions on Thursday–possibly quite windy. Drier air arrives late Thur through Fri night, but another low and its warm front may bring us a few periods of Shwrs & Tshwrs for parts of Saturday, and a nearly stalled front to our SE may allow for some more Sct Shwrs on Sunday, especially to the SE.
May 4th, 2009 at 12:16 pm by Don Paul under Weather Watch 4
Parts of this week look to be tough calls. The operational GFS and NAM keeps us mainly dry on Tuesday, but Short Range Ensemble Forecasts (SREF) which include multiple runs of models, each with slightly different initial conditions (because we can never be certain of initial conditions) have been all over the map with a short wave going by tomorrow. All in all, it appears to me that the bulk of moisture with Tuesday’s system will stay south and east of us. Since the ensemble are all over the place, and the operational models are not, I’m going to lean toward the operational models. (I may regret that choice!) Somewhat more unsettled conditions return later Thursday night and continue into the start of the weekend, with some limited convection possible.
