Are We Turning a Corner? Probably not, but a Dry Stretch is Enroute

August 4th, 2014 at 8:58 pm by under 4 Warn Weather

This week begins with a few rounds of showers & tshowers crossing parts of the region. As we head into later Wednesday evening, though, all roads seem to lead to a dry stretch lasting more than 1 or 2 days. Will you settle for 4 or 5? It’s been a while since we had that many rainfree days in a row. Following Monday evening’s showers closer to Lake Ontario, another round of scattered showers crossing the region during Tuesday, and a third round probably focusing on the southern tier during Wednesday, a ridge of high pressure/a fair weather system should set up shop close enough to us to keep us dry through the weekend. This is, in fact, the first Monday in at least 4 weeks in which showers were not already showing up up computer models for the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will be slightly below average in this drier air on Thursday, but begin edging back up on Friday and moving above average by Sunday-Monday next week. Another cold front will cross our region around Tue-Wed next week, ushering in some below average temperatures again (but not by too much) for a few days. Extended range guidance suggest more seasonably mild temperatures returning by mid-August. Uncertainty that far out, however, is abundant.

There are no signs August will do a complete flip-flop into true summer heat through the 20th. But it appears this next weekend will be on the most solid footing we’ve seen for any weekend in the last month. On a Monday, I can’t say a 100% dry weekend is a “lock”, but at least the odds are looking more favorable at this early point in the week.

81 Responses to “Are We Turning a Corner? Probably not, but a Dry Stretch is Enroute”

  1. Don Paul says:

    New thread is up.

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