Arctic Air gives way to a Moderating Trend for a few days, but some cooling quickly follows.February 19th, 2013 at 2:04 pm by Don Paul under 4 Warn Weather
After something of an Arctic Blast with some limited lake snow, temperatures will begin to moderate on Friday. Some light snow may approach by late in the day, and there could be a bit of a light mix on Saturday, with a few degrees cooling on Sunday behind a weak low. Temps will moderate again on Monday, but there are signs this warm up will be short-lived. However, the colder air returning by Tuesday or Wednesday next week looks seasonably chilly, rather than true continental polar air.
The overall storm track will remain somewhat active, with a significant severe weather threat by Thursday this week in the southern plains and Gulf states, and possibly some more storminess again next week. But there aren’t many signs that our region will be under strong influence of any nor’easters at this time. That’s not to say it won’t happen…it’s just that there are no defined signs of it as of this Tuesday posting.
It appears that a northerly flow will keep our temperatures seasonably chilly in the first week of March. Most ensemble means have the axis of a trough in the NE, a little too far east for any nor’easters this impact us. But that IS a long way off. I’m more confident about somewhat below average temps in that period than I am about the lack of storminess for WNY.