A Mid-Summer Recap
August 4th, 2009 at 9:21 pm by Lindsay Schwarzwaelder under Weather Watch 4
If you’ve noticed that this summer hasn’t stacked up to many others in recent years…you’re right. The Buffalo National Weather Service recently came out with the average July temperatures…which were some of the coolest since Buffalo began taking records. July 2009 was the 6th coolest July since 1871 and the 2nd coolest since the records began at the airport in 1943. Typically, Buffalo sees eighteen 80 degree days during the month and this July we only saw 2! We are now in the first week in August and saw two 80+ degree days already in Buffalo. A cold front that will cross the region tonight will bring our temperatures back to the L-M 70s for Wed-Thurs…then things will really warm up in time for the weekend as a warm front lifts north of the area. Although there will be the chance of a few showers or T-storms on both Saturday and Sunday this weekend…on Sat we’ll get to the L80s while Sunday will easily get into the U80s with areas inland getting possibly into the L90s. Sunday could easily be the warmest day we’ve seen all summer. The old record to beat this Sunday in Buffalo is 95…so we won’t reach that since there will be a brisk SW wind off the lake…however it will be HOT nonetheless. Interestingly in the first few days of August alone we beat the number of 80 degree days we had in the entire month of July!
Hey HowieH
Back from the eastern shores of Lake Huron(Kincardine), but no major storms. Yes, some heavy weather moved across Lake Huron on Sunday afternoon, but most of the action was to the north. We were briefly under a tornado warning.
Heading back up there today for a few more days of r and r before work resumes next week. By the sounds of the forecast, I’ll take the sunshine and warm temps!
Awful about the Brampton lightning strikes. As I heard one met. on CBC say yesterday ‘when thunder roars, stay indoors.’
Hope things settle down for flooded regions of WNY. Amazing how much water some of these storms can put down in a short time!
Let’s get a new “heatwave” thread going!!
Lets all fry like chicken wings! How about we get the “theres relief on the horizon” thread.
Finally some good action in the tropics!
Looks like the heat wave will be short-lived, according to the NWS, by Tuesday the temps are supposed to be back in the low to mid 70s, and by next weekend we’re back into a “troughy” cool/wet pattern. Hopefully it won’t persist as long as it did earlier in the Summer, though Summer will be drawing to an end in just about a month. Hard to believe it went by so fast, then again we really had an extended Spring, rather than a true Summer…
Ah… the heat complaints have ensued… I knew it… some people are funny with the “its too cold” and the “its too hot”… I personally think we should have a sloagan…”If you want to live through all kinds of crazy weather (but not too crazy), come to Buffalo…we got EVERYTHING (except hurricanes…)” I love the extremes, the changes from week to week… day to day sometimes…
My veggies are loving the heat and abundant sunshine and sure enough, I will be watering the gardens and lawn tonight. Everyone with a new roof is also relieved…the tar hasn’t had a good stretch of time to bond the shingles but as of today, I’m sure everything is secure so when the next beastie storm with 35+mph winds comes whipping through (which there will, I’m sure!)those nice new shingles will stay put. I’m not speaking as a person with a new roof, nor as a roofer but as someone who had to peel a few wet shingles off of their car and hand them back to their frustrated neighbor.
And I walk away from the computer for 1/2 days and there is a very bubbly tropics! Ana has been named as our first Atlantic named tropical storm ( NWS cone keeps it a TS for its first projected landfall in the Island of Hispaniola, Tues.), TD 3 is spinning around, And there’s is an area if Investigation (Invest 90)that has drawn the attention of the experts. Meanwhile Guillermo is a Hurricane in the E Pacific, expected to weaken.
I also saw the Wake up weekend show and see that there is a new face to the 4weather team? Welcome…uh, new guy..(didn’t get your name)
I think it is John Stehlin.
If you like it hot enjoy the next couple of days because things will turn cooler and wetter for the end of the week. Daytime highs on Sunday and Monday will get into the U80s to L90s with high humidity levels. An isolated PM T-storm can’t be ruled out both days…but most areas will remain completely rainfree. A cold front will sweep through the area on Tuesday bring sct’d showers and T-storms to the area and that will be the beginning of this pattern change we’ve been advertising. Wednesday will be partly cloudy with a shower or T-storm possible. But temperatures between Thurs-Saturday will fall through the 70s…as it appears that the trough that was stationed over the eastern half of the country during the first half of the summer is returning…so things may turn cooler and wetter again sooner rather than later.
Also, we now have two named storms in the Atlantic. Tropical Storm Ana and Bill. Both are moving to the west at a rapid pace and have winds sustained at 35mph…both of these storms will need to be monitored over the next 5-7 days for further development and a potential storm path.
We can do without alot of heavy rain. I will welcome the 70’s with open arms. I dont know how people can stand it down south. Anything over 80 is hot to me. Glad cooler temps are coming back.
T.S Anna is not doing well and may be downgraded to a T.D. soon,but for now she is still a minimal tropical storm with winds of 40mph. T.S. Bill has stregthened and now has maximum sustained winds of 60mph with gust up to 70mph and is forecast to become a hurricane within the next day but possibly as soon as the 5pm advisory as winds of 74mph or greater are needed to be a hurricane. Bill is forecasted to become a major hurricane (cat 3 or higher) early next week. The track of Bill will have to be monitored closley as it may or may not threaten the east coast. T.D. 4 has now become TS Claudette with maximum winds of 40mph and is forecast to strengthen with winds up to 60mph before hitting Florida later today.
Claudette is pretty impressive for a system that was ignored by many and spun up so close to land.
http://www.wx.rutgers.edu/radimg/anim_serc.gif
There is talk in the NWS weather discussion about a digging trough picking up the moisture from these tropical systems late next week. More heavy rain a possibility in WNY. Lots of time for that to change though.
It’s always interesting when you can see AP’s (around Lake St. Clair) and weather echoes (to the NW) in the same radar display. Check out:
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=wso
Some of the storms look pretty intense!
P.s. AP’s = anomalous propagation, also referred to as ‘false echoes’ which, technically speaking is probably a misnomer because the echoes ARE real, they’re just not weather echoes.
ugh.Looks like future major hurricane bill wont be effecting the united states. This stinks,There goes my entertainment!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
That could be disastrous for areas like Gowanda and other parts of the Srn. Tier if the trough picks up all of that tropical moisture from the South and directs it up our way. I know for one that my yard won’t take much more of the heavy rains like we had last weekend, it’s still unmowable back there, even after a week of sun and warm weather, though the high humidity is mostly to blame for the minimal moisture evaporation.
I’ve also noticed a lot of fog setting in as early as 7-8pm, which seems unusual to me. The ground temps have obviously stayed cool with all of the standing water, allowing all that moisture in the air to condense into fog rapidly during the evening hours.
NWS is painting a wet picture for us later this week. Any info regarding the potential for severe weather this upcoming Tuesday? Doesn’t look like we’re facing a dramatic drop in temps though, upper 70s vs. upper 80s. I always expect severe weather whenever the highs drop by more than 15F the following day…
Afinogenovm… It’s too early to say for sure that it wont be effecting the US. It all depends on the Bremuda high, its stregth and positioning as well as a high pressure system over the central US. It also depends on the foward speed of Bill. If iBill moves a bit faster than expected the HP over the US wont push it off to the east as soon keeping it on a tack more toward the coast of the US but if Bill slows down the HP will meet up with bill and boot him away from land.
Three named storms in as many days… Thats got to be a record somewhere! Although Claudette formed very fast, it was always a possibility in the weather discussions for the gulf region. Bill is now a Cat1 hurricane with a wide margin of err when it comes to his track and future intensity. The battle has begun in the landfall vs. fishstorm debate. Its still too soon to tell..
but Afinogenovm, be careful for wishing on a major hurricane landfall..it may be entertaining to you but it also means serious destruction for others….watch out, saying things like that is like walking into a hornet’s nest…
Back to work, folks. I’ll have a new thread later, after I’ve had time to catch up.
Actually, it’s a weakness in the ridge which is increasing odds for Bill to turn somewhat more northward in a few days, after it becomes a major hurricane. Right now it’s over waters with marginal temps, but low shear. Shear could increase in its path later this week.
There is another cluster of convective cells NW of Ana which is moving NW. There are no signs of a closed circulation, but this may bear watching today into tomorrow, as Wly shear doesn’t increase much until you get closer to the US coastline off GA and the Carolinas.
I may be overreaching here, but after looking at the NCEP 500mb ensemble mean, I would preliminarily say the odds of Bill being turned away from the east coast are favorable.
Welcome back Don!! Hope you had a nice vacation. You were missed.
Welcome back, Don. Hopefully you didn’t vacation in Gowanda. I know we’re heading back into another crummy pattern, but how about we leave out the tornadoes and biblical flooding this time around?!
I’m not sure I recall what rain looks like at less than an inch per hour.
Welcome back Don. The National Guard called while you were out…they were wondering why they get called in every time that you take a vacation..
Hope you’re ready for more of this Trough madness…
NEW THREAD IS UP.
Hello,
I know that we have not had the best summer this year but I’m really not a summer person all that much. I don’t mind the heat so much but the sleepless nights because of the humdity is too much to handle. I know their is not much summer left but will it be just as humid and also into the month of Septermber? I like summer but my favorite season of the year is fall. Much more comfortable weather and nice temperatures for sleeping. I also believe that our Winter is supposed to be a very mild one. Is that correct? I know people reading this may think we have more winter months then summer months but the relief in humdity would be very nice.
Thank you.
Thank you